跑馬地 · 2020-06-10
第 5場
2020-06-10跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、W Y So訓練的MASTER ALBERT勝出，贏出1/2。COMPASSION STAR獲得亞軍；HAPPY TANGO獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門HONEST WAY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT 1.10.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | COMPASSION STAR J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 12 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HONEST WAY CP B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | WINNING TOGETHER B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | COPARTNER SPIRIT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 8 | 86.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 6.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | SOCKET ELITE CP-/SR1/TT- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 105.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ARES J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HONEST WAY | 15.8% | 6.32 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 15.7% | 6.35 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | AMAZING | 12.3% | 8.11 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 10.9% | 9.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 10.7% | 9.37 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | COMPASSION STAR | 9.9% | 10.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT | 7.8% | 12.84 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING TOGETHER | 4.9% | 20.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR | 3.5% | 28.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 1.5% | 67.86 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | SOCKET ELITE | 0.8% | 132.41 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 90
PLACE
1 35.5
4 23.5
11 35
QUINELLA
1,4 610.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 152
1,11 214
4,11 159
TIERCE
4,1,11 12,237
TRIO
1,4,11 2,037
FIRST 4
1,3,4,11 1,858
QUARTET
4,1,11,3 53,221
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/1,4,11 370,916
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 27
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 271
10/4 512