跑馬地 · 2020-06-10
第 9場
2020-06-10跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的MASSIVE POCKET勝出，贏出N。HONG KONG WIN獲得亞軍；COUNTRY STAR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門HONG KONG WIN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MASSIVE POCKET XB 0.56.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 50.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.9 | N |
| 3 | 2 | COUNTRY STAR K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 6 | 35.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | STRONGER CP/TT1 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 8 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GENTLE BREEZE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | LOVING A BOOM B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 10 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 4 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 69.0 | 7 |
| — | 7 | MOMENT OF POWER C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN | 25.3% | 3.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLDEN DASH | 21.3% | 4.69 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | MULTIMILLION | 17.1% | 5.84 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 9.9% | 10.06 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | COUNTRY STAR | 5.9% | 16.84 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | STRONGER | 5.4% | 18.64 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | GENTLE BREEZE | 5.3% | 18.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | MASSIVE POCKET | 3.3% | 30.30 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 3.0% | 33.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LOVING A BOOM | 2.3% | 42.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 1.1% | 88.61 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 503.5
PLACE
2 59
3 12.5
11 91
QUINELLA
3,11 656.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 146
2,11 1,084.5
3,11 177.5
TIERCE
11,3,2 24,607
TRIO
2,3,11 3,568
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 4,331
QUARTET
11,3,2,8 207,537
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 33.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/2,3,11 298,641
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 18.5
5/11 2,740
SIX UP
5,10/1,4/4,9/1,9/5,10/3,11 7,128
10/4/4/1/5/11 3,102,528
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/5/3 118
1/5/11 15,937