沙田 · 2020-06-14
第 3場
2020-06-14沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SPARKLING KNIGHT勝出，贏出5。FABULOUS EIGHT獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門FABULOUS EIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT 0.55.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 13 | 1.7 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 14 | 4.1 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | COMFORT LIFE V/XB/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER KIN TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | NOBLE BIRTH H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 96.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SOLAR POWER B-/XB- B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 5 | 30.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DR EQ TT1 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 10 | 115.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | BRILLIANT H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 50.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | STRONG PROMISE XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 181.0 | 16 |
| 13 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 11 | 125.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 12 | 23.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 26.5% | 3.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | COMFORT LIFE | 15.7% | 6.37 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER KIN | 9.5% | 10.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 4.0% | 25.31 | 14 |
| 6 | 10 | BRILLIANT | 3.5% | 28.75 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | NOBLE BIRTH | 2.6% | 38.91 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 2.3% | 43.98 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SOLAR POWER | 2.1% | 47.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | DR EQ | 1.3% | 79.88 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 1.2% | 84.60 | 1 |
| 12 | 3 | JUMBO ENGINE | 1.0% | 96.78 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | STRONG PROMISE | 0.8% | 132.73 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 0.6% | 156.26 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 235.5
PLACE
1 11
2 14.5
13 44
QUINELLA
1,13 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 17
1,13 72.5
2,13 104.5
TIERCE
13,1,2 2,361
TRIO
1,2,13 177
FIRST 4
1,2,6,13 303
QUARTET
13,1,2,6 12,874
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 43.5
8/13 3,221.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 38.5