沙田 · 2020-06-14
第 9場
2020-06-14沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的CHEVALIER PRINCE勝出，贏出N。LEADING FORTUNE獲得亞軍；DESTIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEVALIER PRINCE 後段發力 H 1.21.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 9 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 B/E1 N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 6 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | DESTIN 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | NUNCHUKS 後段發力 XB-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SAM'S LOVE 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 13 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MIGHTY POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | GALACTIC 早段領放 XB/CP1 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | VICTORY FOR ALL 後段發力 B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 93.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | WONDER BRAHMA H B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPILY FRIENDS K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 7 | 42.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | AFTER ME M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 42.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WELL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 254.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 345.0 | 27-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALACTIC | 29.2% | 3.42 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 28.8% | 3.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | MIGHTY POWER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 5.6% | 17.71 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | NUNCHUKS | 5.1% | 19.54 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | DESTIN | 5.0% | 19.90 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | LEADING FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | AFTER ME | 3.8% | 26.15 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | SAM'S LOVE | 3.2% | 30.98 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | WONDER BRAHMA | 2.4% | 42.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL | 2.2% | 45.97 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 1.1% | 94.91 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 0.6% | 165.11 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | WELL DRAGON | 0.6% | 167.06 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 24.5
PLACE
3 13.5
9 49
11 29
QUINELLA
3,9 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 89
3,11 44
9,11 237
TIERCE
3,9,11 1,622
TRIO
3,9,11 543
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 2,195
QUARTET
3,9,11,12 30,966
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 139
5/9 121.5