沙田 · 2020-06-14
第 2場
2020-06-14沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、R Gibson訓練的IMPECCABLE FELLOW勝出，贏出1-1/4。BUNDLE OF ENERGY獲得亞軍；SHANGHAI DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門SHANGHAI DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW 後段發力 B/H 1.21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY 後段發力 B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON 早段領放 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SOLAR BILLION 後段發力 SR M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BABY STORM 後段發力 H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS P-/B1/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 9 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BRAVERY AND POWER 後段發力 H-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 96.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | VITAL SPRING TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | GALAXY RACER V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | KEEP GOING SR-/B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 55.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ART OF RAW H-/B1/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 12.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 13 | 68.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.4 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | WHO'S HORSE B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 8.7 | 24-1/2 |
| — | 0 | IRON KING Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 24.4% | 4.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | WHO'S HORSE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 14 |
| 3 | 1 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.31 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | GALAXY RACER | 8.5% | 11.79 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS | 7.9% | 12.58 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | ART OF RAW | 6.6% | 15.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | VITAL SPRING | 6.6% | 15.13 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 4.6% | 21.77 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | SOLAR BILLION | 3.9% | 25.84 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | BABY STORM | 2.8% | 35.40 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.0% | 49.16 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | KEEP GOING | 1.7% | 59.97 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 1.0% | 101.68 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 104
PLACE
4 16.5
8 30
11 18.5
QUINELLA
8,11 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 85
4,11 41.5
8,11 83
TIERCE
8,11,4 2,511
TRIO
4,8,11 310
FIRST 4
4,8,11,13 1,935
QUARTET
8,11,4,13 44,888
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 173.5
1/11 11.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A3 —
A1 —