沙田 · 2020-06-14
第 11場
2020-06-14沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA GUNGHO勝出，贏出SH。MIG ENERGY獲得亞軍；UNIQUE TREASURE獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門MIG ENERGY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT 1.09.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | MIG ENERGY XB1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.9 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE P J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 10 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BE READY B C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 8.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | THUNDER STOMP B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 34.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HELAKU KNIGHT H-/XB- M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 7 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | PRIVATE COUNCIL A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 25.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | HAPPY FORTUNE H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 8 | 153.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 122.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | URBAN DANCER TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 11 | 88.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GRANDMA WIN N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LUMEN BABA C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 33.1% | 3.02 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 23.8% | 4.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | MIG ENERGY | 16.4% | 6.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BE READY | 8.7% | 11.53 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 6.2% | 16.01 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | PRIVATE COUNCIL | 3.9% | 25.88 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 3.0% | 33.13 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | THUNDER STOMP | 2.3% | 43.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | URBAN DANCER | 1.0% | 97.24 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 0.6% | 170.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 0.6% | 174.13 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 0.4% | 284.75 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 158.5
PLACE
4 12.5
9 37.5
11 16
QUINELLA
4,9 210
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 78.5
4,11 28.5
9,11 102.5
TIERCE
9,4,11 2,481
TRIO
4,9,11 265
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 304
QUARTET
9,4,11,8 12,154
10TH DOUBLE
2/4 129.5
2/9 3,554.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 54.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/4,9,11 31,779
SIX UP
2,9/6,9/5,6/3,9/2,8/4,9 13,369
9/9/5/3/2/9 7,996,714
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
3/2/4 284
3/2/9 10,370