沙田 · 2020-06-14
第 6場
2020-06-14沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的SUPER ALLIANCES勝出，贏出1-1/4。GUNNAR獲得亞軍；LITTLE THUNDER獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門GUNNAR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES P1 1.09.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GUNNAR TT C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 3 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA COUNCIL V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | STAR LUCK K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | MASTERWORK B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 92.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY WIN WIN B/TT1 T H So · T P Yung | T H So | T P Yung | 4 | 47.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 6 | 69.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 5.8 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TAILOR MADE B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 11.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GOOD SHOT XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 20.1% | 4.97 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | GUNNAR | 19.1% | 5.23 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR LUCK | 10.5% | 9.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | LITTLE THUNDER | 10.1% | 9.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 8.1% | 12.41 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | TAILOR MADE | 5.8% | 17.20 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | GOOD SHOT | 5.7% | 17.59 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY WIN WIN | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 4.9% | 20.28 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | VIVA COUNCIL | 4.9% | 20.47 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | MASTERWORK | 3.3% | 29.92 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | DOLLAR REWARD | 1.9% | 53.35 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 59.5
PLACE
2 13.5
7 22
9 20.5
QUINELLA
2,9 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 40.5
2,9 35
7,9 70
TIERCE
9,2,7 1,035
TRIO
2,7,9 157
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 905
QUARTET
9,2,7,6 17,545
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/2 31
8/9 503.5