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Sha Tin · 2020-06-14

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · R Gibson 5 10.0 1-1/4
2 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall 6 4.6 1-1/4
3 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B C L Chau · T P Yung 8 4.2 1-3/4
4 0 SOLAR BILLION Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · K L Man 1 34.0 6-1/4
5 0 BABY STORM Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · L Ho 7 19.0 6-1/4
6 0 KELMIMI WINS P-/B1/TT N Callan · J Moore 9 19.0 6-1/4
7 0 BRAVERY AND POWER Closed strongly H-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 14 96.0 8-1/4
8 0 VITAL SPRING TT V Borges · K W Lui 12 11.0 9
9 0 GALAXY RACER V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 3 10.0 9-1/4
10 0 KEEP GOING SR-/B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 11 55.0 14-1/4
11 0 ART OF RAW H-/B1/TT C Wong · C W Chang 2 12.0 14-1/2
12 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS H N Wong · D E Ferraris 13 68.0 16-1/2
13 0 DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 10 9.4 16-3/4
14 0 WHO'S HORSE B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting 4 8.7 24-1/2
— 0 IRON KING Z Purton · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. IMPECCABLE FELLOW, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/4, with BUNDLE OF ENERGY second and SHANGHAI DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite SHANGHAI DRAGON finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IMPECCABLE FELLOW—2. BUNDLE OF ENERGY+1.25L3. SHANGHAI DRAGON+1.75L4. SOLAR BILLION+6.25L5. BABY STORM+6.25L6. KELMIMI WINS+6.25L7. BRAVERY AND POWER+8.25L8. VITAL SPRING+9L9. GALAXY RACER+9.25L10. KEEP GOING+14.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BUNDLE OF ENERGY (24.4%) finished 2nd — the winner IMPECCABLE FELLOW was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY 24.4% 4.10 2
2 0 WHO'S HORSE 12.7% 7.90 14
3 0 DIAMOND LEGEND 8.8% 11.31 13
4 0 GALAXY RACER 8.5% 11.79 9
5 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON 8.5% 11.81 3
6 0 KELMIMI WINS 7.9% 12.58 6
7 0 ART OF RAW 6.6% 15.06 11
8 0 VITAL SPRING 6.6% 15.13 8
9 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW 4.6% 21.77 1
10 0 SOLAR BILLION 3.9% 25.84 4
11 0 BABY STORM 2.8% 35.40 5
12 0 BRAVERY AND POWER 2.0% 49.16 7
13 0 KEEP GOING 1.7% 59.97 10
14 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS 1.0% 101.68 12
BUNDLE OF ENERGYWHO'S HORSEDIAMOND LEGENDGALAXY RACERSHANGHAI DRAGONKELMIMI WINSART OF RAWVITAL SPRINGIMPECCABLE FELLOW — wonSOLAR BILLIONBABY STORMBRAVERY AND POWERKEEP GOINGSUCCESS ALLSTARS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 104

PLACE

4 16.5

8 30

11 18.5

QUINELLA

8,11 234.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 85

4,11 41.5

8,11 83

TIERCE

8,11,4 2,511

TRIO

4,8,11 310

FIRST 4

4,8,11,13 1,935

QUARTET

8,11,4,13 44,888

1ST DOUBLE

1/8 173.5

1/11 11.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 31.5

A3 —

A1 —