Sha Tin · 2020-06-14
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER ELEGANCE second and CHAMPION SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SUPER ELEGANCE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.47.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 2 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 3 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | RED ELYSEES B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GENEROUS CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD OMEN SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Led early XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ABOVE B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 10 | 7.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ABOVE | 21.8% | 4.59 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 20.2% | 4.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | DEFINING MOMENT | 16.4% | 6.09 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 10.0% | 9.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | GOD OF DRAGON | 9.8% | 10.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | GOOD OMEN | 6.7% | 14.87 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 5.6% | 17.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 4.9% | 20.58 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | RED ELYSEES | 3.0% | 33.51 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 1.6% | 61.02 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 58.5
PLACE
1 21.5
6 14
9 18
QUINELLA
6,9 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 40.5
1,9 64.5
6,9 42
TIERCE
9,6,1 1,246
TRIO
1,6,9 188
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 169
QUARTET
9,6,1,4 4,666
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
All pools (3 more)
6TH DOUBLE
9/6 42.5
9/9 474.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,8/2,7,9/1,6,9 715,021
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,8/2,7,9/Any Combination 4,829