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Sha Tin · 2020-06-14

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.47.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 8 5.8 1-1/4
2 0 SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting 2 3.4 1-1/4
3 0 CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore 3 6.3 1-1/2
4 0 DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes 5 7.7 1-3/4
5 0 RED ELYSEES B K C Leung · K L Man 1 8.1 2-1/4
6 0 GENEROUS CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 9 101.0 3
7 0 GOOD OMEN SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte 7 8.7 3-3/4
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES Led early XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 28.0 4-3/4
9 0 ABOVE B K H Chan · J Moore 10 7.0 4-3/4
10 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 4 27.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER ELEGANCE second and CHAMPION SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SUPER ELEGANCE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOD OF DRAGON—2. SUPER ELEGANCE+1.25L3. CHAMPION SUPREME+1.5L4. DEFINING MOMENT+1.75L5. RED ELYSEES+2.25L6. GENEROUS CHARITY+3L7. GOOD OMEN+3.75L8. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+4.75L9. ABOVE+4.75L10. DYNAMIC EAGLE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick ABOVE (21.8%) finished 9th — the winner GOD OF DRAGON was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ABOVE 21.8% 4.59 9
2 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 20.2% 4.95 2
3 0 DEFINING MOMENT 16.4% 6.09 4
4 0 CHAMPION SUPREME 10.0% 9.97 3
5 0 GOD OF DRAGON 9.8% 10.23 1
6 0 GOOD OMEN 6.7% 14.87 7
7 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE 5.6% 17.94 10
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 4.9% 20.58 8
9 0 RED ELYSEES 3.0% 33.51 5
10 0 GENEROUS CHARITY 1.6% 61.02 6
ABOVESUPER ELEGANCEDEFINING MOMENTCHAMPION SUPREMEGOD OF DRAGON — wonGOOD OMENDYNAMIC EAGLEGAMEPLAYER TIMESRED ELYSEESGENEROUS CHARITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 58.5

PLACE

1 21.5

6 14

9 18

QUINELLA

6,9 114.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 40.5

1,9 64.5

6,9 42

TIERCE

9,6,1 1,246

TRIO

1,6,9 188

FIRST 4

1,4,6,9 169

QUARTET

9,6,1,4 4,666

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 22

A1 —

All pools (3 more)

6TH DOUBLE

9/6 42.5

9/9 474.5

TRIPLE TRIO

4,7,8/2,7,9/1,6,9 715,021

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,7,8/2,7,9/Any Combination 4,829