Sha Tin · 2020-06-14
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. MEGA HEART, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C W Chang, won by 2-1/2, with GOOD FOR YOU second and CALIFORNIA CONCORD third. The 3.4 favourite SUNNY BOY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MEGA HEART XB/TT 1.08.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 1 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 7 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ENSHRINED H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH P C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 6 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT1 N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 3 | 88.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS B K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 2 | 6.7 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HAFEET ALAIN B1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 202.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 19.1% | 5.23 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 14.6% | 6.83 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS | 10.0% | 10.04 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | MEGA HEART | 7.7% | 13.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH | 7.5% | 13.37 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU | 7.4% | 13.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON | 5.3% | 19.03 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP | 5.2% | 19.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ENSHRINED | 3.5% | 28.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.6% | 39.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | HAFEET ALAIN | 1.1% | 94.90 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 113.5
PLACE
2 34
5 20.5
8 38
QUINELLA
2,8 830.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 103
2,8 193
5,8 76
TIERCE
2,8,5 5,390
TRIO
2,5,8 558
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 950
QUARTET
2,8,5,1 36,006
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 39
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
3/2 444.5
3/8 55.5