Sha Tin · 2020-06-14
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Griffin over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 3-1/4, with HONGKONG HARMONY second and SEA MONARCH third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 0.56.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 1.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HONGKONG HARMONY XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SEA MONARCH SR/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | TINKER BELLE B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE TRIPLE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 67.0% | 1.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TINKER BELLE | 11.0% | 9.11 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | SEA MONARCH | 10.3% | 9.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | HONGKONG HARMONY | 9.5% | 10.53 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 2.3% | 43.78 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13.5
PLACE
1 12
3 21
QUINELLA
1,3 33
TIERCE
1,3,4 83
TRIO
1,3,4 21