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Sha Tin · 2020-06-14

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly H 1.21.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 9 2.4 N
2 0 LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B/E1 N Callan · J Size 6 21.0 N
3 0 DESTIN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 3 9.5 1-1/2
4 0 NUNCHUKS Closed strongly XB-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 14 16.0 3
5 0 CHAMP PATROL C Schofield · R Gibson 5 27.0 3-1/2
6 0 SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 13 19.0 4-1/2
7 0 MIGHTY POWER C L Chau · T P Yung 8 7.5 5-1/2
8 0 GALACTIC Led early XB/CP1 J Moreira · D J Whyte 2 4.9 6-3/4
9 0 VICTORY FOR ALL Closed strongly B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui 10 93.0 7-1/2
10 0 WONDER BRAHMA H B Shinn · D J Hall 1 10.0 7-1/2
11 0 HAPPILY FRIENDS K Teetan · K H Ting 7 42.0 12-3/4
12 0 AFTER ME M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 42.0 15-3/4
13 0 WELL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · W Y So 12 254.0 15-3/4
14 0 GENERAL CASTLEDALE TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris 11 345.0 27-3/4
— 0 DREAM WARRIORS K Teetan · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHEVALIER PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with LEADING FORTUNE second and DESTIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHEVALIER PRINCE—2. LEADING FORTUNE+0.05L3. DESTIN+1.5L4. NUNCHUKS+3L5. CHAMP PATROL+3.5L6. SAM'S LOVE+4.5L7. MIGHTY POWER+5.5L8. GALACTIC+6.75L9. VICTORY FOR ALL+7.5L10. WONDER BRAHMA+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GALACTIC (29.2%) finished 8th — the winner CHEVALIER PRINCE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALACTIC 29.2% 3.42 8
2 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 28.8% 3.47 1
3 0 MIGHTY POWER 8.0% 12.54 7
4 0 HAPPILY FRIENDS 5.6% 17.71 11
5 0 NUNCHUKS 5.1% 19.54 4
6 0 DESTIN 5.0% 19.90 3
7 0 LEADING FORTUNE 4.4% 22.97 2
8 0 AFTER ME 3.8% 26.15 12
9 0 SAM'S LOVE 3.2% 30.98 6
10 0 WONDER BRAHMA 2.4% 42.54 10
11 0 CHAMP PATROL 2.2% 45.97 5
12 0 VICTORY FOR ALL 1.1% 94.91 9
13 0 GENERAL CASTLEDALE 0.6% 165.11 14
14 0 WELL DRAGON 0.6% 167.06 13
GALACTICCHEVALIER PRINCE — wonMIGHTY POWERHAPPILY FRIENDSNUNCHUKSDESTINLEADING FORTUNEAFTER MESAM'S LOVEWONDER BRAHMACHAMP PATROLVICTORY FOR ALLGENERAL CASTLEDALEWELL DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 24.5

PLACE

3 13.5

9 49

11 29

QUINELLA

3,9 249.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 89

3,11 44

9,11 237

TIERCE

3,9,11 1,622

TRIO

3,9,11 543

FIRST 4

3,9,11,12 2,195

QUARTET

3,9,11,12 30,966

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 16

A3 —

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

5/3 139

5/9 121.5