沙田 · 2020-07-05
第 10場
2020-07-05沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Moore訓練的AWE勝出，贏出N。CIRCUIT GLORY獲得亞軍；PICKEN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AWE 後段發力 1.21.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 9 | 4.1 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 2 | PICKEN 後段發力 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG 早段領放 B1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 5 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ELIGERE 後段發力 J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH H1/TT1 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 14 | 202.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | RELENTLESS ME B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · C S Shum | C Schofield | C S Shum | 12 | 104.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | URBAN DANCER TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 1 | 73.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 3 | 262.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPERBELLA 後段發力 B H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 210.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | NATURAL WINNER CP-/B1 M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 6 | 34.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE P K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.1 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 13 | 60.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ELIGERE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | RELENTLESS ME | 12.6% | 7.94 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | AWE | 12.4% | 8.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | PICKEN | 9.8% | 10.21 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 9.3% | 10.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 8.7% | 11.54 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 4.7% | 21.16 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.7% | 58.69 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.6% | 63.85 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 1.1% | 92.01 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPERBELLA | 1.0% | 98.70 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | URBAN DANCER | 0.9% | 112.63 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 0.8% | 131.51 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 41
PLACE
1 20
2 21.5
9 18
QUINELLA
1,9 114
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 73
1,9 47
2,9 73.5
TIERCE
9,1,2 1,269
TRIO
1,2,9 293
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 485
QUARTET
9,1,2,3 8,311
3 PICK 1
A1 26
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
3/1 48
3/9 213