沙田 · 2020-07-05
第 5場
2020-07-05沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的EIGHT TRIGRAMS勝出，贏出1-1/4。STRIKING MR C獲得亞軍；FORTUNE HAPPINESS獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門SUPER ALLIANCES跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B 1.09.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | STRIKING MR C B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 3.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SHIMMER AND SHINE PC1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 1 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 8.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | COOL ACE B-/H2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 42.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 6 | 56.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MASTERWORK B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 31.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | VIVA COUNCIL V-/B1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 12.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 6.1 | 37-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 17.5% | 5.72 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | STRIKING MR C | 14.3% | 6.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER | 13.0% | 7.67 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 12.1% | 8.27 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 10.7% | 9.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 8.4% | 11.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 7.4% | 13.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | VIVA COUNCIL | 5.2% | 19.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | JUMBO ENGINE | 5.0% | 20.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 3.6% | 28.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | COOL ACE | 1.6% | 63.42 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | MASTERWORK | 1.2% | 80.32 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 71
PLACE
2 37
4 18
7 24.5
QUINELLA
4,7 190
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 110
2,7 196.5
4,7 69
TIERCE
7,4,2 4,400
TRIO
2,4,7 807
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 667
QUARTET
7,4,2,6 18,047
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/2,4,7 77,229
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 29
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/4 16
10/7 152