沙田 · 2020-07-05
第 7場
2020-07-05沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的PERFECT PAIR勝出，贏出3-1/2。MISSION SMART獲得亞軍；VICTORIOUS LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT PAIR 後段發力 SR 1.20.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | MISSION SMART 後段發力 H/CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 12 | 86.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION 後段發力 B-/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 5 | 6.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | POWER KING H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER BULLET 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 43.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | NUNCHUKS 早段領放 TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | NOBLE DESIRE XB/B2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 14 | 5.4 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MONSTER KAKA B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | FRESH POWER B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 51.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 6 | 23.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | EASY DAZZLING B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 74.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES H/CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 15.0 | 27-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CITY LEGEND A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT PAIR | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION | 21.4% | 4.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | POWER KING | 13.3% | 7.54 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION | 6.7% | 14.90 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 6.3% | 15.87 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 6.1% | 16.48 | 14 |
| 7 | 8 | NOBLE DESIRE | 5.5% | 18.21 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | MISSION SMART | 5.4% | 18.41 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | MONSTER KAKA | 4.2% | 23.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | NUNCHUKS | 3.0% | 33.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 2.6% | 37.89 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER BULLET | 1.3% | 76.36 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | FRESH POWER | 1.2% | 84.10 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | EASY DAZZLING | 0.9% | 112.05 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 35.5
PLACE
4 14.5
10 29
11 188.5
QUINELLA
4,10 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 63
4,11 506
10,11 994.5
TIERCE
4,10,11 14,268
TRIO
4,10,11 3,369
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 3,514
QUARTET
4,10,11,13 74,684
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
6TH DOUBLE
2/4 301.5
2/10 123
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,7/2,9,12/Any Combination 3,219