Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EIGHT TRIGRAMS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with STRIKING MR C second and FORTUNE HAPPINESS third. The 3.7 favourite SUPER ALLIANCES finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | STRIKING MR C B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 3.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SHIMMER AND SHINE PC1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 1 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 8.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | COOL ACE B-/H2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 42.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 6 | 56.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MASTERWORK B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 31.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | VIVA COUNCIL V-/B1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 12.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 6.1 | 37-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 17.5% | 5.72 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | STRIKING MR C | 14.3% | 6.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER | 13.0% | 7.67 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 12.1% | 8.27 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 10.7% | 9.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 8.4% | 11.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 7.4% | 13.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | VIVA COUNCIL | 5.2% | 19.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | JUMBO ENGINE | 5.0% | 20.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 3.6% | 28.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | COOL ACE | 1.6% | 63.42 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | MASTERWORK | 1.2% | 80.32 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 71
PLACE
2 37
4 18
7 24.5
QUINELLA
4,7 190
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 110
2,7 196.5
4,7 69
TIERCE
7,4,2 4,400
TRIO
2,4,7 807
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 667
QUARTET
7,4,2,6 18,047
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/2,4,7 77,229
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 29
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/4 16
10/7 152