Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MORE THAN ENOUGH, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SUPER MISSION second and COPARTNER ERA third. The 2.0 favourite MY SUGAR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT 1.09.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER MISSION M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 12 | COPARTNER ERA B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 189.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MY SUGAR Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 8 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | LAND POWER C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 75.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | VIVA CHEF H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | THE ELITES TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 203.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LIGHT MY DAY B1/TT1 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY RUBY A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MY SUGAR | 20.9% | 4.79 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 20.9% | 4.79 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 12.2% | 8.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 10.7% | 9.31 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER MISSION | 9.6% | 10.41 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | LAND POWER | 8.3% | 12.02 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY RUBY | 5.9% | 16.85 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.4% | 22.61 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | VIVA CHEF | 2.9% | 34.58 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | THE ELITES | 2.2% | 45.64 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.2% | 80.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | COPARTNER ERA | 0.7% | 146.42 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 85.5
PLACE
6 21
10 13.5
12 281.5
QUINELLA
6,10 175.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 56.5
6,12 1,346.5
10,12 693.5
TIERCE
6,10,12 32,036
TRIO
6,10,12 7,281
FIRST 4
6,7,10,12 2,854
QUARTET
6,10,12,7 115,134
1ST DOUBLE
1/6 326
1/10 31
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32
A1 —