Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly XB 2.15.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 22.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 7.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 10 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HOME WIN CP B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ART OF RAW Led early B-/H2/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN E- N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 2 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORY VISION Closed strongly B- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 13 | 135.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KING PRINT Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 7 | 6.5 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 5.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 12 | 27.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BRING IT ON TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY B/TT C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 6 | 14.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND B/TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 71.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAY RUN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by HD, with FORTUNE PATROL second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.4 favourite ENJOYABLE SUCCESS finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING PRINT | 19.6% | 5.10 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 15.4% | 6.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 13.3% | 7.55 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 10.6% | 9.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HAY RUN | 7.5% | 13.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM | 6.2% | 16.17 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 5.7% | 17.61 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | BRING IT ON | 4.4% | 22.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 4.0% | 24.96 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | HOME WIN | 3.4% | 29.52 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 3.2% | 31.00 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 2.9% | 34.51 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND | 2.8% | 35.27 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | VICTORY VISION | 1.1% | 92.75 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 221
PLACE
2 24
9 25
10 73
QUINELLA
9,10 764.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 100.5
2,10 213
9,10 222
TIERCE
10,9,2 14,783
TRIO
2,9,10 1,568
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 7,614
QUARTET
10,9,2,1 474,338
2ND DOUBLE
6/9 134.5
6/10 2,376.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20