Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 1.09.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | ENCHANTING START H1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY STAR TT- K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER TEN C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B1/TT1 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 63.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HONGKONG HARMONY XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TINKER BELLE B- M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 86.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SEA MONARCH SR/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 5 | 48.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG E1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | — | 78.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with ENCHANTING START second and SUNNY STAR third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 41.7% | 2.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HONGKONG HARMONY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | ENCHANTING START | 13.8% | 7.22 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 11.7% | 8.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER TEN | 5.6% | 18.01 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 4.5% | 22.01 | — |
| 7 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 4.0% | 25.28 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 3.1% | 32.16 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | TINKER BELLE | 1.1% | 87.58 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 28
PLACE
1 11
2 17
3 12.5
QUINELLA
1,3 54.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29.5
1,3 21
2,3 39.5
TIERCE
1,3,2 252
TRIO
1,2,3 65
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 39
QUARTET
1,3,2,8 606
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —