Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SHINING GEM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with ALL IN MIND second and LUCKY EXPRESS third. The 2.4 favourite LUCKY EXPRESS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHINING GEM CP 1.08.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 5 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ARMANDO K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 6.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | MAGIC LEGEND H Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | GUNNISON K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 11 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | MOMENT OF POWER B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 190.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MR CROISSANT CP C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 2 | 8.2 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 33.0% | 3.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | ALL IN MIND | 13.9% | 7.18 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | MR CROISSANT | 10.4% | 9.63 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | ARMANDO | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | SHINING GEM | 7.3% | 13.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MAGIC LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN DASH | 5.8% | 17.14 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | GUNNISON | 4.0% | 24.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 3.2% | 31.26 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET | 2.8% | 35.53 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 2.2% | 45.45 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | MOMENT OF POWER | 0.8% | 118.74 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 162.5
PLACE
5 42.5
8 17
10 14
QUINELLA
5,8 542.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 150.5
5,10 95.5
8,10 31.5
TIERCE
5,8,10 4,824
TRIO
5,8,10 389
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 937
QUARTET
5,8,10,4 40,088
10TH DOUBLE
9/5 998.5
9/8 32
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 37
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/5,8,10 13,040
SIX UP
2/4/3/3/9/5 800,688
2,9/4,10/3,5/1,3/1,9/5,8 2,933
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/9/5 8,034
3/9/8 167