Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SO WE JOY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 2-1/2, with CHEVALIER PRINCE second and CALIFORNIA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CHEVALIER PRINCE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.34.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 9 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly H Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PERFECT TO PLAY V/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 1 | 38.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | SANGRIA Closed strongly B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 70.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 14 | SACRED TIMING B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 4 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 13 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | TELECOM ROCKET CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.2 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | SUNNY POWER Closed strongly B2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HUMBLE STEED H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 2 | 71.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | APEX TOP Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 12 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 21.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 6 | 136.0 | 81 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 32.3% | 3.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY | 19.4% | 5.16 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 7.9% | 12.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM ROCKET | 7.3% | 13.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | APEX TOP | 7.0% | 14.18 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | BULLETPROOF | 4.7% | 21.50 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | SACRED TIMING | 4.4% | 22.67 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | SUNNY POWER | 3.8% | 26.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | HUMBLE STEED | 3.1% | 32.58 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 2.5% | 40.57 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 2.4% | 41.11 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI | 2.0% | 50.65 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | SANGRIA | 1.8% | 54.13 | 6 |
| 14 | 10 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 1.3% | 75.76 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 49.5
PLACE
1 12.5
3 18
9 46
QUINELLA
1,3 63
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 31
1,9 90.5
3,9 126
TIERCE
3,1,9 1,510
TRIO
1,3,9 303
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 943
QUARTET
3,1,9,8 17,882
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 17.5
3/3 163