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Sha Tin · 2020-07-05

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.34.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore 9 4.9 2-1/2
2 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly H Z Purton · F C Lor 5 2.6 2-1/2
3 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 14 15.0 4-1/4
4 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu 8 15.0 4-3/4
5 0 PERFECT TO PLAY V/TT N Callan · C Fownes 1 38.0 7
6 0 SANGRIA Closed strongly B H W Lai · D E Ferraris 3 70.0 7
7 0 SACRED TIMING B M F Poon · K H Ting 4 28.0 7-1/4
8 0 HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip 13 16.0 7-1/2
9 0 TELECOM ROCKET CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 7 5.2 8
10 0 SUNNY POWER Closed strongly B2 C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 32.0 8-3/4
11 0 HUMBLE STEED H N Wong · T P Yung 2 71.0 9-1/4
12 0 APEX TOP Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard 12 13.0 9-1/2
13 0 SUN OF MAKFI XB B Shinn · D J Hall 11 21.0 12-3/4
14 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR B T H So · C H Yip 6 136.0 81

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SO WE JOY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 2-1/2, with CHEVALIER PRINCE second and CALIFORNIA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CHEVALIER PRINCE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SO WE JOY—2. CHEVALIER PRINCE+2.5L3. CALIFORNIA LEGEND+4.25L4. BULLETPROOF+4.75L5. PERFECT TO PLAY+7L6. SANGRIA+7L7. SACRED TIMING+7.25L8. HAPPY WIN WIN+7.5L9. TELECOM ROCKET+8L10. SUNNY POWER+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick CHEVALIER PRINCE (32.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SO WE JOY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 32.3% 3.09 2
2 0 SO WE JOY 19.4% 5.16 1
3 0 HAPPY WIN WIN 7.9% 12.71 8
4 0 TELECOM ROCKET 7.3% 13.62 9
5 0 APEX TOP 7.0% 14.18 12
6 0 BULLETPROOF 4.7% 21.50 4
7 0 SACRED TIMING 4.4% 22.67 7
8 0 SUNNY POWER 3.8% 26.00 10
9 0 HUMBLE STEED 3.1% 32.58 11
10 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND 2.5% 40.57 3
11 0 PERFECT TO PLAY 2.4% 41.11 5
12 0 SUN OF MAKFI 2.0% 50.65 13
13 0 SANGRIA 1.8% 54.13 6
14 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR 1.3% 75.76 14
CHEVALIER PRINCESO WE JOY — wonHAPPY WIN WINTELECOM ROCKETAPEX TOPBULLETPROOFSACRED TIMINGSUNNY POWERHUMBLE STEEDCALIFORNIA LEGENDPERFECT TO PLAYSUN OF MAKFISANGRIAGORGEOUS INHERITOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 49.5

PLACE

1 12.5

3 18

9 46

QUINELLA

1,3 63

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 31

1,9 90.5

3,9 126

TIERCE

3,1,9 1,510

TRIO

1,3,9 303

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 943

QUARTET

3,1,9,8 17,882

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 17

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

3/1 17.5

3/3 163