Sha Tin · 2020-07-05
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. UTOPIA LIFE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by K L Man, won by N, with ENSHRINED second and SKY SHOW third. The 2.1 favourite SKY SHOW finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE B 1.09.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 4 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 9 | ENSHRINED H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SKY SHOW J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 6 | 2.1 | N |
| 4 | 11 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING FOR ALL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD FOR YOU B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | SHOUSON B-/PC2 K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 5 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LUMEN BABA SR/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 10 | 225.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 8.9 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SIMPLE ELEGANT V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 46.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | PRINCE OF BON BON C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 11 | 122.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SKY SHOW | 40.1% | 2.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 12.3% | 8.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 11.1% | 9.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON | 6.8% | 14.75 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | ENSHRINED | 6.4% | 15.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | SHOUSON | 5.7% | 17.66 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 4.4% | 22.88 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | GOOD FOR YOU | 4.4% | 22.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | WINNING FOR ALL | 3.5% | 28.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.8% | 36.34 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 1.9% | 52.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | LUMEN BABA | 0.7% | 139.76 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 51
PLACE
2 16
9 45
12 13.5
QUINELLA
2,9 456
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 138.5
2,12 29
9,12 82.5
TIERCE
2,9,12 3,277
TRIO
2,9,12 304
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 496
QUARTET
2,9,12,11 23,399
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 30.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 446
7/9 226