跑馬地 · 2020-07-08
第 3場
2020-07-08跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、D J Whyte訓練的XPONENTIAL勝出，贏出3/4。GALLANT CROWN獲得亞軍；HARMONY N HOME獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SPRINT FORWARD跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B-/XB-/SR1 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 4 | 159.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 12 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MALDIVES XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SPRINT FORWARD B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | INNO LEGEND K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 3 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 9 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SWEETLY BABY H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY TURBO B1/TT1 N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 8 | 155.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO B C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | SKY TREASURE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SPRINT FORWARD | 32.0% | 3.12 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 15.7% | 6.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | INNO LEGEND | 11.0% | 9.08 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY TURBO | 9.5% | 10.58 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | MALDIVES | 7.7% | 12.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.2% | 16.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 5.2% | 19.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 3.9% | 25.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | SKY TREASURE | 2.6% | 38.44 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | SWEETLY BABY | 2.6% | 39.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 1.8% | 55.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.7% | 59.22 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 87.5
PLACE
1 22
2 46.5
8 274.5
QUINELLA
1,8 5,986
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 143
1,8 1,164.5
2,8 2,159
TIERCE
1,8,2 94,364
TRIO
1,2,8 12,145
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 24,025
QUARTET
1,8,2,7 683,073
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 231.5
6/8 739
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —