跑馬地 · 2020-07-08
第 4場
2020-07-08跑馬地第4場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的SUPREME PLUS勝出，贏出HD。FOX CHEUNGER獲得亞軍；YEE CHEONG LUCKY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門FOX CHEUNGER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB 1.10.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 4.6 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 12 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY WINNER CP Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 1 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B/H/TT- A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | AURORA STEED V B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | JUNZI B N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 2 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SOLAR VICTORY H K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 6 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | EXPONENTS V H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 27.2% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | FOX CHEUNGER | 20.2% | 4.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPREME PLUS | 7.6% | 13.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY WINNER | 6.2% | 16.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | EXPONENTS | 5.9% | 16.88 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | AURORA STEED | 5.8% | 17.17 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | MULTIMAX | 5.6% | 17.74 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.6% | 21.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | JUNZI | 3.7% | 26.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | PLAY TO WIN | 2.7% | 36.97 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | SOLAR VICTORY | 2.2% | 46.33 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 124.5
PLACE
4 18.5
5 35
12 16
QUINELLA
5,12 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 91.5
4,12 52
5,12 96
TIERCE
5,12,4 2,264
TRIO
4,5,12 338
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 771
QUARTET
5,12,4,10 22,845
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/5 577.5
1/12 59.5