跑馬地 · 2020-07-08
第 2場
2020-07-08跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、K H Ting訓練的MOMENTUM HAPPY勝出，贏出1。SHINING ON獲得亞軍；SPACE獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門FEARLESS FIRE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MOMENTUM HAPPY B 1.10.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINING ON K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SPACE B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 3 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DAZZLING FEELING TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 12 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | JADE THEATRE B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ATHENA TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NOBLE MAN E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIMES XB/TT B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 10 | 150.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 45.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | WONDERFUL TREASURE H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 123.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE | 30.1% | 3.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINING ON | 15.5% | 6.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 9.7% | 10.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SPACE | 7.5% | 13.26 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | NOBLE MAN | 7.5% | 13.32 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | DAZZLING FEELING | 5.4% | 18.46 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | STRATHCLYDE | 4.0% | 24.74 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | JADE THEATRE | 4.0% | 25.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | ATHENA | 3.6% | 28.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | WONDERFUL TREASURE | 1.7% | 57.70 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 0.7% | 136.52 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 33
PLACE
6 12.5
8 28.5
12 22
QUINELLA
6,12 121
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 63
6,12 43
8,12 102.5
TIERCE
6,12,8 1,788
TRIO
6,8,12 352
FIRST 4
1,6,8,12 846
QUARTET
6,12,8,1 13,960
1ST DOUBLE
3/6 547.5
3/12 107
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5