跑馬地 · 2020-07-08
第 8場
2020-07-08跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C Fownes訓練的EXPLOSIVE WITNESS勝出，贏出2。CALIFORNIA ARCHER獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門DIAMOND BRILLIANT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS 0.56.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 9.2 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | BE READY B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 6.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | G UNIT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 4 | 8.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ORION PATCH M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 6 | 54.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | AEROZOOM A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 37.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COBY OPPA T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 7 | 101.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 6 | ETERNAL HARVEST C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 20.4% | 4.91 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.3% | 6.14 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 15.7% | 6.39 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | BE READY | 11.7% | 8.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | G UNIT | 7.8% | 12.78 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 6.9% | 14.51 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | AEROZOOM | 6.5% | 15.45 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | GRATEFUL HEART | 4.6% | 21.68 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 4.6% | 21.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | ORION PATCH | 3.7% | 26.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | COBY OPPA | 1.8% | 54.75 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 56.5
PLACE
3 20
5 14
9 17.5
QUINELLA
3,9 130.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 41.5
3,9 45.5
5,9 35
TIERCE
3,9,5 835
TRIO
3,5,9 129
FIRST 4
3,5,9,10 234
QUARTET
3,9,5,10 5,894
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 34
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
7/3 557.5
7/9 82.5