Happy Valley · 2020-07-08
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB 1.10.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 4.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING MONKEY BL/BO/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 12 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER CP Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 1 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B/H/TT- A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AURORA STEED V B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JUNZI B N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 2 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLAR VICTORY H K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 6 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EXPONENTS V H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-08 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPREME PLUS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with FOX CHEUNGER second and YEE CHEONG LUCKY third. The 4.6 favourite FOX CHEUNGER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 27.2% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER | 20.2% | 4.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 7.6% | 13.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER | 6.2% | 16.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | EXPONENTS | 5.9% | 16.88 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | AURORA STEED | 5.8% | 17.17 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MULTIMAX | 5.6% | 17.74 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.6% | 21.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JUNZI | 3.7% | 26.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PLAY TO WIN | 2.7% | 36.97 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SOLAR VICTORY | 2.2% | 46.33 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 124.5
PLACE
4 18.5
5 35
12 16
QUINELLA
5,12 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 91.5
4,12 52
5,12 96
TIERCE
5,12,4 2,264
TRIO
4,5,12 338
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 771
QUARTET
5,12,4,10 22,845
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29.5
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/5 577.5
1/12 59.5