Happy Valley · 2020-07-08
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MURRAY'S PARTNERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with TOTAL POWER second and ANONYMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite DIONYSUS COLLIN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ANONYMA H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 6 | 123.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | DIONYSUS COLLIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 5 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BLOOMING SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR WIN Closed strongly T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 3 | 99.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | KING'S MAN Closed strongly V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP V1/TT1 N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 11 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | EVERYONE'S ELITE V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 26.7% | 3.75 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 16.5% | 6.05 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 14.4% | 6.95 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 9.8% | 10.21 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | TOTAL POWER | 9.5% | 10.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | KING'S MAN | 6.4% | 15.59 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | THUNDER STOMP | 5.0% | 20.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 4.8% | 20.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | HAR HAR HEART | 3.6% | 27.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 1.6% | 64.38 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | ANONYMA | 1.1% | 88.99 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR WIN | 0.6% | 169.10 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 55
PLACE
2 26
9 17.5
12 225
QUINELLA
2,9 210
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 71
2,12 1,127
9,12 1,091.5
TIERCE
9,2,12 25,482
TRIO
2,9,12 7,683
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 3,009
QUARTET
9,2,12,5 98,178
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 43
9/9 280.5