Happy Valley · 2020-07-08
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 9 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TOYCOON Closed strongly XB-/CP1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BLASTOISE SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE KING SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly H H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 8 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN Led early TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 3 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 10 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FUN LEGEND Closed strongly B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 12 | 160.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TOP SCORE B-/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 36.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SPECTRUM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with LIGHTNING STEED second and TASHIDELEK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 15.2% | 6.57 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 14.8% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 13.8% | 7.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | TOYCOON | 10.0% | 10.03 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 7.5% | 13.29 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 4.2% | 24.07 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 3.6% | 27.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 3.3% | 29.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 2.6% | 38.09 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 0.9% | 113.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FUN LEGEND | 0.6% | 180.13 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 38
PLACE
1 16.5
6 30.5
12 20.5
QUINELLA
1,12 123
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 76
1,12 51.5
6,12 94
TIERCE
1,12,6 2,150
TRIO
1,6,12 368
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 719
QUARTET
1,12,6,2 14,790
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6,9/1,6,12 5,603
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 318.5
3/12 113
SIX UP
5/9/9/7/3/1 564,428
5,12/9,11/2,9/4,7/3,9/1,12 7,066
1 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
7/3/1 2,397
7/3/12 808