Happy Valley · 2020-07-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN Closed strongly P-/B1 1.40.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 10 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE Led early P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 9 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 4 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly V-/B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly CP/XB1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS B V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 7 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN ENVY TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 11 | 8.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DASHING GRACE B- H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 6 | 144.0 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BREAK RECORD C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY ICHIBAN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE second and WINNERS BROTHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 21.0% | 4.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 15.2% | 6.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS | 15.1% | 6.64 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 14.5% | 6.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 9.9% | 10.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 7.2% | 13.85 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 4.0% | 25.26 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON | 2.7% | 36.62 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 2.6% | 38.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | DASHING GRACE | 0.8% | 124.50 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 67
PLACE
3 26.5
7 18
10 16
QUINELLA
3,10 172
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 108.5
3,10 67
7,10 51.5
TIERCE
3,10,7 2,702
TRIO
3,7,10 395
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 1,775
QUARTET
3,10,7,11 38,195
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23
A1 —