沙田 · 2020-09-27
第 5場
2020-09-27沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的GALACTIC勝出，贏出SH。SUPER RED DRAGON獲得亞軍；BREEZE OF SPRING獲得季軍。5.5倍大熱門SUPER RED DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GALACTIC CP-/XB- 1.09.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 9.7 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK B1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUNNY STAR C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 14 | 38.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | DUBLIN STAR B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ALL JOYFUL V- C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 1 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 8 | 153.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COMFORT LIFE V/XB/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | G UNIT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 12 | 47.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | HOT CHILI PEPPER B1/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 6.2 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | WINNING GENGHIS H1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 115.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 25.0% | 4.00 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 15.4% | 6.48 | 13 |
| 3 | 3 | DUBLIN STAR | 9.4% | 10.65 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | COMFORT LIFE | 7.4% | 13.54 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | ALL JOYFUL | 7.0% | 14.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.71 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR | 5.2% | 19.14 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNNY STAR | 5.2% | 19.18 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | GALACTIC | 4.2% | 23.60 | 1 |
| 11 | 12 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 3.4% | 29.27 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | G UNIT | 2.6% | 38.89 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 1.1% | 91.02 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | WINNING GENGHIS | 0.5% | 197.17 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 97.5
PLACE
7 34.5
12 27.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
7,13 297.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 173
7,13 117.5
12,13 87
FORECAST
7,13 850
TIERCE
7,13,12 5,162
TRIO
7,12,13 911
FIRST 4
4,7,12,13 1,481
QUARTET
7,13,12,4 37,204
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 15.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/7 362.5
4/13 59.5