沙田 · 2020-09-27
第 9場
2020-09-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的BIG FORTUNE勝出，贏出1/2。PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；BIZ POWER獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門BIZ POWER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB 1.08.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | BIZ POWER B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SMOOTHIES B1/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 9 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | TRIPLE TRIPLE B-/V1 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | KA YING MASTER TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 3 | 61.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | FALCON TURBO B/XB1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 8.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 10 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 8.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 11 | 389.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | BRIGHT KID B/XB V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 9.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | A A AGILITY N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 2 | 131.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | FLASHCARD TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 116.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BIZ POWER | 21.2% | 4.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | BRIGHT KID | 12.9% | 7.77 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | BIG FORTUNE | 11.4% | 8.79 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 9.1% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS | 9.0% | 11.15 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD | 8.9% | 11.21 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | FALCON TURBO | 6.6% | 15.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.0% | 20.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | KA YING MASTER | 4.4% | 22.50 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | A A AGILITY | 3.6% | 28.01 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | SMOOTHIES | 3.3% | 29.94 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 3.1% | 32.13 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | FLASHCARD | 0.9% | 108.36 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 0.5% | 186.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 49.5
PLACE
7 18.5
8 14.5
9 27
QUINELLA
7,9 232
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 37
7,9 81.5
8,9 59
FORECAST
7,9 524
TIERCE
7,9,8 1,155
TRIO
7,8,9 172
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 500
QUARTET
7,9,8,3 13,369
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/7 85.5
6/9 19.5