沙田 · 2020-09-27
第 10場
2020-09-27沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的LUCKY EXPRESS勝出，贏出3/4。WINNING METHOD獲得亞軍；GOOD LUCK FRIEND獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門WINNING METHOD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY EXPRESS E1/TT1 1.08.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | WINNING METHOD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 179.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | TORNADO TWIST H/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 9 | 66.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ARMANDO A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | GREEN AEON B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | UTOPIA LIFE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 14 | 238.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | MR CROISSANT CP C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 6 | 8.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | TRANSCENDENT TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | MAGIC LEGEND H K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 52.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 13 | 125.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 35.1% | 2.85 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 19.1% | 5.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY | 9.4% | 10.69 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING METHOD | 8.9% | 11.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | GREEN AEON | 5.9% | 16.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | ARMANDO | 5.2% | 19.28 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | WATER DIVINER | 3.3% | 30.02 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | MR CROISSANT | 2.7% | 36.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | TORNADO TWIST | 2.3% | 43.73 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.9% | 51.31 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.9% | 53.64 | 4 |
| 12 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 1.8% | 55.97 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | MAGIC LEGEND | 1.3% | 76.40 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | UTOPIA LIFE | 1.2% | 86.65 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 58
PLACE
5 16
6 18.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
5,8 117
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 29.5
5,8 49.5
6,8 53
FORECAST
8,5 299
TIERCE
8,5,6 793
TRIO
5,6,8 91
FIRST 4
5,6,8,13 3,204
QUARTET
8,5,6,13 38,306
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/5,6,8 1,407
9TH DOUBLE
7/5 48.5
7/8 308.5
SIX UP
7/4/3/6/7/8 124,473
7,13/2,4/3,4/1,6,8/7,9/5,8 2,027
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
6/7/5 82
6/7/8 544