沙田 · 2020-09-27
第 2場
2020-09-27沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUPER WINNER勝出，贏出2-1/4。THE FULL BLOOM獲得亞軍；GREAT HARVEST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER WINNER 後段發力 B-/TT 1.21.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM 後段發力 V1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 SR-/B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NUNCHUKS 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SMILING SUCCESS 早段領放 B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 8.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | PRIME TIME 後段發力 B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 210.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SHOW MISSION B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 99.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SACRED TIMING 後段發力 B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 12 | 5.7 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 5 | 79.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | ROCHFORD V C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 8 | 104.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | DASHING GRACE V H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 329.0 | 21-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 18.5% | 5.41 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 13.8% | 7.27 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 11.3% | 8.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | NUNCHUKS | 11.3% | 8.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING SUCCESS | 9.7% | 10.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | SACRED TIMING | 8.0% | 12.50 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | ROCHFORD | 5.9% | 16.95 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.4% | 18.35 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 5.3% | 19.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST | 4.9% | 20.33 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | SHOW MISSION | 2.4% | 42.49 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.2% | 44.94 | 2 |
| 13 | 12 | DASHING GRACE | 0.7% | 137.03 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | PRIME TIME | 0.6% | 161.10 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 29
PLACE
3 14
8 88.5
14 58
QUINELLA
3,14 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 186.5
3,14 103
8,14 594
FORECAST
3,14 462
TIERCE
3,14,8 9,377
TRIO
3,8,14 3,141
FIRST 4
3,8,9,14 9,920
QUARTET
3,14,8,9 134,176
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/3 343.5
9/14 262
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5