Sha Tin · 2020-09-27
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-27 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WINNER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-1/4, with THE FULL BLOOM second and GREAT HARVEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER WINNER Closed strongly B-/TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly SR-/B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 8.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | PRIME TIME Closed strongly B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 210.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SHOW MISSION B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 99.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SACRED TIMING Closed strongly B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 12 | 5.7 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 5 | 79.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | ROCHFORD V C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 8 | 104.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | DASHING GRACE V H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 329.0 | 21-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 18.5% | 5.41 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 13.8% | 7.27 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 11.3% | 8.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | NUNCHUKS | 11.3% | 8.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING SUCCESS | 9.7% | 10.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | SACRED TIMING | 8.0% | 12.50 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | ROCHFORD | 5.9% | 16.95 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.4% | 18.35 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 5.3% | 19.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST | 4.9% | 20.33 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | SHOW MISSION | 2.4% | 42.49 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.2% | 44.94 | 2 |
| 13 | 12 | DASHING GRACE | 0.7% | 137.03 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | PRIME TIME | 0.6% | 161.10 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 29
PLACE
3 14
8 88.5
14 58
QUINELLA
3,14 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 186.5
3,14 103
8,14 594
FORECAST
3,14 462
TIERCE
3,14,8 9,377
TRIO
3,8,14 3,141
FIRST 4
3,8,9,14 9,920
QUARTET
3,14,8,9 134,176
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/3 343.5
9/14 262
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5