Sha Tin · 2020-09-27
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B 1.22.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SOLAR POWER Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 3 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BULB ELITE V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPARKLING STAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL Closed strongly H1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 8 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COLONEL Led early B C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ELIGERE B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBLE CONSORT B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 9 | 31.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG E/B1/TT1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | — | 84.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHARGE ON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SOLAR POWER second and NORDIC WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 17.0% | 5.88 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS | 13.0% | 7.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ELIGERE | 10.1% | 9.89 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SPARKLING STAR | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR POWER | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL | 7.2% | 13.95 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | COLONEL | 4.1% | 24.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE CONSORT | 2.6% | 38.20 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 1.4% | 72.67 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 0.9% | 107.54 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 36.5
PLACE
2 20.5
4 15
7 35
QUINELLA
4,7 269
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 57.5
2,7 112.5
4,7 91
FORECAST
4,7 676
TIERCE
4,7,2 3,110
TRIO
2,4,7 458
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 848
QUARTET
4,7,2,11 18,795
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/2,4,7 128,153
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/4 2,208.5
6/7 501