Sha Tin · 2020-09-27
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY Closed strongly 1.22.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 7 | 38.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly P1 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 5 | 6.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE DRIVE B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO Closed strongly E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA MAMA Led early V/TT N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 11 | 91.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GO GOAL TOBY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with GOLDEN FOUR second and KING DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DIAMOND RHYME finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME | 44.2% | 2.26 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 10.1% | 9.88 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 9.7% | 10.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 7.7% | 13.03 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.7% | 15.03 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO | 5.8% | 17.13 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.5% | 18.07 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 3.9% | 25.64 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 3.4% | 29.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY | 1.9% | 52.19 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA MAMA | 1.0% | 100.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 384.5
PLACE
2 20.5
6 99
7 19
QUINELLA
2,6 1,516.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 407
2,7 67
6,7 326
FORECAST
6,2 3,360
TIERCE
6,2,7 21,499
TRIO
2,6,7 2,913
FIRST 4
2,6,7,10 5,403
QUARTET
6,2,7,10 165,156
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/2 28.5
3/6 1,352
3 PICK 1
A3 35
A1 —
A2 —