Sha Tin · 2020-09-27
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-27 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with BEAUTY GENERATION second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.20.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 1.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | BUDDIES H2/TT2 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 63.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | RATTAN B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ELUSIVE STATE TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 8 | 225.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 31.1% | 3.22 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 11.1% | 9.00 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | BUDDIES | 10.1% | 9.95 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | KA YING STAR | 9.9% | 10.13 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 3.4% | 29.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.63 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 3.1% | 32.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | RATTAN | 2.2% | 46.38 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | ELUSIVE STATE | 1.9% | 52.51 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 18
PLACE
1 16
6 11.5
8 28.5
QUINELLA
1,6 22
6,8 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 20.5
1,8 80
6,8 39.5
FORECAST
6,1 28
6,8 77
TIERCE
6,1,8 183
6,8,1 227
TRIO
1,6,8 107
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 451
QUARTET
6,1,8,2 1,635
6,8,1,2 2,558
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 46.5
3/6 336.5
3/8 151.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B3 18
B4 —
B1 —