跑馬地 · 2020-11-08
第 1場
2020-11-08跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的VIRTUS STAR勝出，贏出N。TREASURE CHEST獲得亞軍；BULB ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門TREASURE CHEST跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VIRTUS STAR 後段發力 TT 1.41.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | BULB ELITE 後段發力 CP1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | NITRO EXPRESS 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WONDER WIN K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | KEEP WINNING 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESIDENT STAR 後段發力 CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | HUMBLE STEED K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | STAR WIN CP- C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 57.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SMILING SUCCESS 早段領放 B-/V1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 2 | 7.7 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VIRTUS STAR | 18.5% | 5.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST | 18.2% | 5.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | BULB ELITE | 14.6% | 6.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | SMILING SUCCESS | 13.5% | 7.42 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNERS BROTHER | 7.8% | 12.81 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | KEEP WINNING | 4.7% | 21.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | HUMBLE STEED | 4.5% | 22.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | NITRO EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.50 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | WONDER WIN | 3.3% | 30.47 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.0% | 33.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | STAR WIN | 1.4% | 69.65 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 42
PLACE
2 33
9 16
10 15
QUINELLA
9,10 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 110
2,10 96.5
9,10 33.5
FORECAST
10,9 213
TIERCE
10,9,2 1,461
TRIO
2,9,10 305
FIRST 4
2,7,9,10 1,137
QUARTET
10,9,2,7 18,513
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20.5