跑馬地 · 2020-11-08
第 6場
2020-11-08跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、C Fownes訓練的LUCKY QUALITY勝出，贏出1-1/4。WINS ALL獲得亞軍；GREAT SON獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門KINDA COOL跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY 1.10.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 10 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | WINS ALL TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | GREAT SON V/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 45.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | KINDA COOL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | REGENCY POET B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CIGARY H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 107.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 88.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR B- H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 64.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | FOCUS M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KINDA COOL | 25.7% | 3.89 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY | 16.5% | 6.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | WINS ALL | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 9.7% | 10.33 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | FOCUS | 8.5% | 11.76 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | REGENCY POET | 6.6% | 15.08 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | GREAT SON | 5.8% | 17.33 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.1% | 19.62 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | VEGA RHYTHM | 2.8% | 35.61 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | NOBLE MAN | 2.6% | 38.23 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 2.0% | 49.26 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | CIGARY | 1.9% | 52.16 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 68
PLACE
4 21
8 17
9 28
QUINELLA
4,8 159
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 59.5
4,9 89
8,9 73.5
FORECAST
4,8 328
TIERCE
4,8,9 2,500
TRIO
4,8,9 484
FIRST 4
4,7,8,9 2,969
QUARTET
4,8,9,7 49,746
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22
5TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,804.5
10/8 353.5
TRIPLE TRIO
9>3,4,5,8,10/1,2,10/4,8,9 7,522,893
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9>3,4,5,8,10/1,2,10/Any Combination 32,097