跑馬地 · 2020-11-08
第 7場
2020-11-08跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的HOLY HEART勝出，贏出1/2。FLYING QUEST獲得亞軍；UNCLE STEVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門SACRED IBIS跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HOLY HEART 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT 1.40.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING QUEST 後段發力 B C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PRINCE OF FROG 早段領放 H/P/XB M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 59.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CHARIZARD CP/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WEALTHY DELIGHT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 7.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR H M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | HELENE WISDOM STAR H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | WIN WIN B C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 6 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SACRED IBIS XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 3.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM ELITE V- H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 261.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HOLY HEART | 23.0% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SACRED IBIS | 18.2% | 5.48 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 11.0% | 9.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | WIN WIN | 10.5% | 9.53 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 7.7% | 12.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | PRINCE OF FROG | 7.0% | 14.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE | 5.7% | 17.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | CHARIZARD | 5.1% | 19.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | JOLLY HONOUR | 4.4% | 22.71 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING QUEST | 4.3% | 23.12 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 2.2% | 44.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM ELITE | 0.7% | 141.35 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 59
PLACE
1 40.5
2 22
3 21.5
QUINELLA
1,3 529
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 141.5
1,3 166
2,3 87.5
FORECAST
3,1 767
TIERCE
3,1,2 4,019
TRIO
1,2,3 1,064
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 2,770
QUARTET
3,1,2,8 57,934
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/1,2,3 46,999
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 88.5
4/3 370.5