跑馬地 · 2020-11-08
第 10場
2020-11-08跑馬地第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的GOLDEN DASH勝出，贏出SH。SHINING GEM獲得亞軍；HIGHLAND FORTUNE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門HIGHLAND FORTUNE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT 1.09.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | SHINING GEM CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE B1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SHINING ACE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 3 | 94.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | GREEN AEON TT1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 9 | 9.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO B- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 11 | 57.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 8 | 75.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 25.1% | 3.98 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | ALL IN MIND | 19.4% | 5.15 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | SHINING ACE | 10.1% | 9.94 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SHINING GEM | 6.6% | 15.22 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | GREEN AEON | 5.6% | 17.75 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH | 5.0% | 19.85 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | GUNNISON | 3.9% | 25.67 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.24 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 2.6% | 38.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 2.6% | 38.49 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.0% | 51.00 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 57.5
PLACE
2 30
5 14
7 19
QUINELLA
2,7 284
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 69.5
2,7 94.5
5,7 44
FORECAST
7,2 538
TIERCE
7,2,5 2,609
TRIO
2,5,7 373
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 302
QUARTET
7,2,5,4 9,625
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/2,5,7 23,290
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 125.5
9/7 320.5
SIX UP
2,10/4,8/1,3/3,8,10/3,9/2,7 13,576
10/4/3/10/9/7 1,841,095
2 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
10/9/2 475
10/9/7 1,541