跑馬地 · 2020-11-08
第 9場
2020-11-08跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、K L Man訓練的COMPASSION SPIRIT勝出，贏出N。PERFECT GLORY獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門CHICKEN DANCE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT 1.09.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | PERFECT GLORY B- N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | ARES Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | STARZ HERO H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 293.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 106.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | POISED TO STRIKE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | CHICKEN DANCE B-/CP1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINE AND WINE B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 49.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHICKEN DANCE | 30.2% | 3.31 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | ARES | 17.3% | 5.79 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 11.0% | 9.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 10.4% | 9.62 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH | 9.2% | 10.86 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 5.8% | 17.32 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT GLORY | 4.4% | 22.54 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.2% | 31.12 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | WINE AND WINE | 3.2% | 31.40 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | POISED TO STRIKE | 2.6% | 38.58 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.2% | 44.64 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | STARZ HERO | 0.5% | 207.08 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 59.5
PLACE
1 16
3 29.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
3,9 271.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 72
1,9 51
3,9 84
FORECAST
9,3 622
TIERCE
9,3,1 2,524
TRIO
1,3,9 368
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 594
QUARTET
9,3,1,2 14,453
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A1 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
10/3 97.5
10/9 294.5