Happy Valley · 2020-11-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT 1.41.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BULB ELITE Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER WIN K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR WIN CP- C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 57.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B-/V1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 2 | 7.7 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIRTUS STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with TREASURE CHEST second and BULB ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite TREASURE CHEST finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 18.5% | 5.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST | 18.2% | 5.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 14.6% | 6.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 13.5% | 7.42 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 7.8% | 12.81 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 4.7% | 21.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 4.5% | 22.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.50 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 3.3% | 30.47 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.0% | 33.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR WIN | 1.4% | 69.65 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 42
PLACE
2 33
9 16
10 15
QUINELLA
9,10 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 110
2,10 96.5
9,10 33.5
FORECAST
10,9 213
TIERCE
10,9,2 1,461
TRIO
2,9,10 305
FIRST 4
2,7,9,10 1,137
QUARTET
10,9,2,7 18,513
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —