Happy Valley · 2020-11-08
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT 1.50.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 2.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | METHANE Closed strongly CP- N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly B-/H-/XB-/TT- A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EXALTATION V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 1 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER SR1/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | EZRA B- T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NUNCHUKS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with METHANE second and CROWN AVENUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 28.7% | 3.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EXALTATION | 16.5% | 6.05 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | EZRA | 8.4% | 11.86 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 6.8% | 14.63 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | METHANE | 6.8% | 14.68 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 6.6% | 15.08 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 6.3% | 15.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 5.1% | 19.69 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 4.7% | 21.31 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 4.6% | 21.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 2.9% | 34.90 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 2.5% | 40.00 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 26.5
PLACE
3 24
8 32.5
12 13
QUINELLA
3,12 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 136.5
3,12 42
8,12 64
FORECAST
12,3 157
TIERCE
12,3,8 1,416
TRIO
3,8,12 432
FIRST 4
3,5,8,12 1,405
QUARTET
12,3,8,5 17,361
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/3 93.5
10/12 124
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —