Happy Valley · 2020-11-08
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-08 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE THE SOUTH, ridden by V Borges and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with HARMONY AND RICH second and DIAMOND BRILLIANT third. The 2.7 favourite HARMONY AND RICH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB 0.57.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 1 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY AND RICH Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT B/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 5 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | MAN STAR C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TELECOM PUMA SR-/H1/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN B1/TT1 K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MR LUMIERES CP1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCEED THE STARS B H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | PRINCE OF BON BON B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 151.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | RUBY STARS H1/TT1 H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 50.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FABULOUS EIGHT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | HEART CONQUERED A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HARMONY AND RICH | 24.8% | 4.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | WE THE SOUTH | 24.7% | 4.04 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.3% | 6.15 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | EXCEED THE STARS | 9.3% | 10.78 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | MAN STAR | 7.6% | 13.22 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 4.9% | 20.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | TELECOM PUMA | 4.9% | 20.50 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | MR LUMIERES | 3.0% | 33.10 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER | 2.2% | 45.43 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | RUBY STARS | 1.6% | 61.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.8% | 129.58 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 39.5
PLACE
3 12
10 14.5
11 20
QUINELLA
3,10 58.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 25.5
3,11 38
10,11 37
FORECAST
10,3 149
TIERCE
10,3,11 445
TRIO
3,10,11 87
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 107
QUARTET
10,3,11,4 1,889
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
7TH DOUBLE
3/3,8 26
3/10 286