Happy Valley · 2020-11-08
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-08 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. VIVA CHEF, ridden by M F Poon and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with WINNER'S HEART second and WILD WEST WING third. The 2.3 favourite WILD WEST WING finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VIVA CHEF B1 0.57.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | WINNER'S HEART N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 7 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | WILD WEST WING K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | JAZZ STEED B2/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 10 | 7.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | DESTIN B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | GARLIC HERO TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 1 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 3 | GRATWICK H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WILD WEST WING | 41.5% | 2.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 17.0% | 5.88 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | JAZZ STEED | 11.8% | 8.47 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNER'S HEART | 10.7% | 9.33 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 8.8% | 11.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 4.7% | 21.39 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | DESTIN | 3.3% | 30.42 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | VIVA CHEF | 1.5% | 66.64 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | GARLIC HERO | 0.7% | 149.77 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 171.5
PLACE
4 12.5
8 15.5
9 39.5
QUINELLA
8,9 407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 24.5
4,9 80.5
8,9 121
FORECAST
9,8 923
TIERCE
9,8,4 2,478
TRIO
4,8,9 273
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 309
QUARTET
9,8,4,1 11,841
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,10/9>3,4,5,8,10 46,224
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/8 264
8/9 2,951