沙田 · 2021-01-01
第 1場
2021-01-01沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的MASTER FAY勝出，贏出2-1/2。TRAVEL GLORY獲得亞軍；BRILLIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASTER FAY TT1 1.09.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 1.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | TRAVEL GLORY V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 1 | 122.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | BRILLIANT TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | JOYFUL WIN B1 T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 2 | 72.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | VIGOR CHAMP B Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 13 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CHIRON C Soumillon · D A Hayes | C Soumillon | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN BOLT XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | FORTUNE CARRIER A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | BRILLIANT CHINA TT1 C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 12 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | FULL SAILING H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 202.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | OH BRAVO TT1 A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | KRAYT'S GOLD C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 130.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | HERO STAR TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 14 | 12.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | DURHAM STAR M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASTER FAY | 27.9% | 3.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | VIGOR CHAMP | 12.3% | 8.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | CHIRON | 9.8% | 10.18 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | KRAYT'S GOLD | 8.9% | 11.30 | 13 |
| 5 | 3 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 7.1% | 14.12 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | HERO STAR | 6.9% | 14.60 | 14 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN BOLT | 6.7% | 15.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | OH BRAVO | 5.5% | 18.12 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 3.4% | 29.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.3% | 30.25 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | FULL SAILING | 3.2% | 31.40 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | BRILLIANT | 2.7% | 37.54 | 3 |
| 13 | 11 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 1.9% | 51.85 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | JOYFUL WIN | 0.5% | 197.61 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 16.5
PLACE
8 11
10 255.5
14 45.5
QUINELLA
8,10 1,113
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 359.5
8,14 103.5
10,14 1,524.5
FORECAST
8,10 819
TIERCE
8,10,14 16,431
TRIO
8,10,14 7,207
FIRST 4
6,8,10,14 19,576
QUARTET
8,10,14,6 213,778
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —