沙田 · 2021-01-01
第 7場
2021-01-01沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的SEA OF LIFE勝出，贏出1-1/4。TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得亞軍；BIG FORTUNE獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門MASTER MONTARO跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SEA OF LIFE V 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 9.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | MASTER MONTARO B/XB Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 1.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT CP1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SILVER EXPRESS K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | TOP SCORE TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SERIOUS LIAISON TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 186.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CRUISING CP C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 13 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MING WARRIOR TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 338.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | SUNNY BOY B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 7 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | STARZ HERO B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 155.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | CHEERS BABY V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 191.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | SOULMATE A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASTER MONTARO | 39.4% | 2.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT | 16.4% | 6.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 11.7% | 8.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | BIG FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SILVER EXPRESS | 5.2% | 19.42 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | CRUISING | 4.3% | 23.29 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | SEA OF LIFE | 4.1% | 24.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.5% | 28.18 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY BOY | 2.2% | 44.66 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | CHEERS BABY | 1.7% | 58.46 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | TOP SCORE | 1.4% | 69.17 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | STARZ HERO | 0.6% | 168.29 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 0.6% | 171.42 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | MING WARRIOR | 0.4% | 260.36 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 98.5
PLACE
5 18.5
7 23
13 24
QUINELLA
7,13 269.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 80.5
5,13 68
7,13 80.5
FORECAST
7,13 626
TIERCE
7,13,5 2,803
TRIO
5,7,13 510
FIRST 4
1,5,7,13 293
QUARTET
7,13,5,1 10,440
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 33
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/7 568
12/13 81.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,9,11/7,12,14/5,7,13 16,058,435
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,11/7,12,14/Any Combination 133,384