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Sha Tin · 2021-01-01

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SEA OF LIFE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with TRIPLE TRIPLE second and BIG FORTUNE third. The 1.9 favourite MASTER MONTARO finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.09.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SEA OF LIFE V 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 9.8 1-1/4
2 13 TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M F Poon · F C Lor 2 7.5 1-1/4
3 5 BIG FORTUNE B/XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte 6 7.0 2
4 1 MASTER MONTARO B/XB Z Purton · D A Hayes 14 1.9 2-1/2
5 6 TRANSCENDENT CP1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 10 11.0 2-3/4
6 4 SILVER EXPRESS K Teetan · J Size 8 14.0 3
7 14 TOP SCORE TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 69.0 3
8 8 SERIOUS LIAISON TT A Badel · D J Hall 12 186.0 4-1/4
9 3 CRUISING CP C L Chau · T P Yung 11 12.0 4-1/2
10 12 LUCKY QUALITY M Chadwick · C Fownes 13 35.0 5-1/2
11 9 MING WARRIOR TT N Callan · D E Ferraris 4 338.0 5-1/2
12 2 SUNNY BOY B/TT T Piccone · W Y So 7 49.0 5-3/4
13 11 STARZ HERO B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui 9 155.0 6-3/4
14 10 CHEERS BABY V Borges · P O'Sullivan 3 191.0 7
0 SOULMATE A Hamelin · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SEA OF LIFE2. TRIPLE TRIPLE+1.25L3. BIG FORTUNE+2L4. MASTER MONTARO+2.5L5. TRANSCENDENT+2.75L6. SILVER EXPRESS+3L7. TOP SCORE+3L8. SERIOUS LIAISON+4.25L9. CRUISING+4.5L10. LUCKY QUALITY+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick MASTER MONTARO (39.4%) finished 4th — the winner SEA OF LIFE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MASTER MONTARO 39.4% 2.54 4
2 6 TRANSCENDENT 16.4% 6.09 5
3 13 TRIPLE TRIPLE 11.7% 8.58 2
4 5 BIG FORTUNE 8.5% 11.80 3
5 4 SILVER EXPRESS 5.2% 19.42 6
6 3 CRUISING 4.3% 23.29 9
7 7 SEA OF LIFE 4.1% 24.60 1
8 12 LUCKY QUALITY 3.5% 28.18 10
9 2 SUNNY BOY 2.2% 44.66 12
10 10 CHEERS BABY 1.7% 58.46 14
11 14 TOP SCORE 1.4% 69.17 7
12 11 STARZ HERO 0.6% 168.29 13
13 8 SERIOUS LIAISON 0.6% 171.42 8
14 9 MING WARRIOR 0.4% 260.36 11
MASTER MONTAROTRANSCENDENTTRIPLE TRIPLEBIG FORTUNESILVER EXPRESSCRUISINGSEA OF LIFE — wonLUCKY QUALITYSUNNY BOYCHEERS BABYTOP SCORESTARZ HEROSERIOUS LIAISONMING WARRIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 98.5

PLACE

5 18.5

7 23

13 24

QUINELLA

7,13 269.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 80.5

5,13 68

7,13 80.5

FORECAST

7,13 626

TIERCE

7,13,5 2,803

TRIO

5,7,13 510

FIRST 4

1,5,7,13 293

QUARTET

7,13,5,1 10,440

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 33

A1

A3

6TH DOUBLE

12/7 568

12/13 81.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,9,11/7,12,14/5,7,13 16,058,435

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,9,11/7,12,14/Any Combination 133,384